{"id":12905,"date":"2023-12-27T15:07:06","date_gmt":"2023-12-27T15:07:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/?p=12905"},"modified":"2024-01-10T17:20:34","modified_gmt":"2024-01-10T17:20:34","slug":"easing-housing-costs-stock-ownership-at-new-high-red-sea-trade-route-attacks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/easing-housing-costs-stock-ownership-at-new-high-red-sea-trade-route-attacks\/","title":{"rendered":"Easing Housing Costs, Stock Ownership At New High, Red Sea Trade Route Attacks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>As we look forward to what the new year has to offer, we dive into key factors that we believe could impact the future of the market such as:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2022 Housing dragging inflation down<br>\u2022 Stock ownership in America reaches new high<br>\u2022 U.S. leads bid to secure Red Sea<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Inflation\u2019s Last Mile: Housing Costs<\/strong> \u2013 We\u2019ve written quite a bit about inflation\u2019s downward trend over the past year. In November, consumer prices (CPI) rose by 3.1% year-over-year, well within striking distance of the Fed\u2019s 2% target. Aiding in inflation\u2019s decline was largely falling prices for goods, namely cars, furniture, and electronics. But missing from this list is CPI\u2019s biggest component: housing. Also known as \u2018shelter costs,\u2019 housing makes up 35% of the CPI number, and owners and renters alike all know how prices have been moving. Home prices rose 3.4% year-over-year in October, reaching a record for the month. In aggregate, the housing component of CPI rose 6.5% year-over-year in November, which is having an outsized effect on the headline CPI number. The good news for inflation watchers, however, is that if you remove the shelter component and look at CPI minus the housing factor, inflation went up 1.4% year-over-year in November, which is below the Fed\u2019s target (see chart below).<sup>1<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>When removing housing costs from CPI (blue line), inflation is running below 2%<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"350\" src=\"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/pic-2-1-1024x350.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-12907\" srcset=\"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/pic-2-1-1024x350.png 1024w, https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/pic-2-1-300x102.png 300w, https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/pic-2-1-768x262.png 768w, https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/pic-2-1.png 1318w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis<sup>2<\/sup><\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>And we think there\u2019s better news ahead. Because shelter costs include tenants\u2019 rent (making up 7.7% of CPI) \u2013 and because this data is reported on a lag and includes new and existing leases \u2013 we expect more softening ahead. According to Zillow, rent growth has declined to 3.3% through November, which is lower than the average rent increase in the two years preceding the pandemic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-market-strategy-report?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2023_12_26&amp;content=market_strategy_report\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-market-strategy-report?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2023_12_26&amp;content=market_strategy_report\">What the Market Showed Us in 2023 to Prepare for the New Year<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The economy and markets in 2023 prompted us to consider a few other classic lessons, and in our free <strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-market-strategy-report?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2023_12_26&amp;content=market_strategy_report\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-market-strategy-report?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2023_12_26&amp;content=market_strategy_report\">December 2023 Zacks Market Strategy Report<\/a><\/span><\/strong>, we look back at some of these and why they are important for any investor to keep in mind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Download your free report now for our insights on 2023&#8217;s lessons including:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2022 Don&#8217;t overwatch the Fed<br>\u2022 Don&#8217;t chase heat (The &#8220;Magnificent 7&#8221; stocks that pulled markets higher<br>\u2022 Don&#8217;t fear volatility<br>\u2022 Plus\u2014Earnings estimates are now flat for Q4\u2014is the feared earnings recession coming back?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have $500,000 or more to invest and want to learn more, download your guide today!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-market-strategy-report?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2023_12_26&amp;content=market_strategy_report\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-market-strategy-report?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2023_12_26&amp;content=market_strategy_report\">Download Our Exclusive \u201cDecember Market Strategy Guide\u201d<sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Stock Ownership in America Reaches All-Time High<\/strong> \u2013 The pandemic reshaped the global economy and altered the way we live and work in many ways. But it also made a significant impact on how many Americans invest. According to a triennial Federal Reserve survey, a record 58% of American households own stocks in some form, mainly in retirement accounts. But there has also been a strong uptick in the number of small individual brokerage accounts that households have opened, thanks in large part to the confluence of stimulus dollars and the elimination of commission fees on stock trading across U.S. brokerages. According to the survey, direct stock ownership rose from 15% of families in 2019 to 21% of families in 2022, which marked the biggest jump since the survey began in 1989. To be fair, not all investors are long-term oriented, and in many cases, individuals are trading as a hobby or to try to \u2018get rich quick.\u2019 But the high-level takeaway here is a positive, in our view. If more Americans are buying stocks, that\u2019s a good thing.<sup>4<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/pic-1-4-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-12906\" srcset=\"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/pic-1-4-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/pic-1-4-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/pic-1-4-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/pic-1-4.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>Source: The Federal Reserve<sup>5<\/sup><\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Could Red Sea Attacks Snarl Supply Chains All Over Again?<\/strong> \u2013 The Red Sea occupies a critical sliver of water, separating the Mediterranean Sea and the Indian Ocean, where 12% of the world\u2019s seaborne oil, 8% of its liquified natural gas, and 20% of all container trade pass through. It is not an exaggeration to call it one of the world\u2019s most valuable trade routes. But recently, shipping companies have been rerouting vessels and getting worried about commercial traffic there, as recent attacks on merchant vessels by Houthi forces in Yemen have sparked fears that cargo and personnel could be in danger. The shipping giant A.P. Moller-Maersk announced it would reroute vessels around the Cape of Good Hope in Southern Africa, which adds time and cost to the movement of goods. It follows that higher prices for goods and energy could add to inflation concerns globally. This is a risk worth watching. So far, the U.S. has stepped in with a multinational naval force to protect vessels, which market watchers are hoping will deter future attacks.<sup>6<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Preparing to Invest in 2024<\/strong> \u2013 2023 has been an eventful year for the economy and markets. To sum up some of the most important developments, we dusted off some classic investing lessons to prepare investors for what\u2019s to come.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our free <strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-market-strategy-report?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2023_12_26&amp;content=market_strategy_report\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-market-strategy-report?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2023_12_26&amp;content=market_strategy_report\">December 2023 Zacks Market Strategy Report<\/a><\/span><\/strong> covers some of these lessons and why they are important for any investor to consider in their strategies. You\u2019ll get insight on ways to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2022 Don&#8217;t overwatch the Fed<br>\u2022 Don&#8217;t chase heat (The &#8220;Magnificent 7&#8221; stocks that pulled markets higher<br>\u2022 Don&#8217;t fear volatility<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Plus\u2014Earnings estimates are now flat for Q4\u2014is the feared earnings recession coming back?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have $500,000 or more, fill out the form to get your free report today!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-market-strategy-report?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2023_12_26&amp;content=market_strategy_report\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-market-strategy-report?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2023_12_26&amp;content=market_strategy_report\">Download Our Exclusive December Market Strategy Report<sup>7<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Softening housing costs push inflation further down, U.S. household stock ownership hits all-time high, U.S. steps in to protect Red Sea shipping route.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71,73],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12905","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-private-client-group","category-steady-investors-week"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12905","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12905"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12905\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12909,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12905\/revisions\/12909"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12905"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12905"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12905"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}