{"id":12999,"date":"2024-02-12T15:43:41","date_gmt":"2024-02-12T15:43:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/?p=12999"},"modified":"2024-02-12T15:43:41","modified_gmt":"2024-02-12T15:43:41","slug":"service-sector-activity-and-job-growth-expands-another-potential-regional-banking-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/service-sector-activity-and-job-growth-expands-another-potential-regional-banking-crisis\/","title":{"rendered":"Service Sector Activity And Job Growth Expands, Another Potential Regional Banking Crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In this week&#8217;s Steady Investor, we explore current market news that we believe investors should keep on their radar, such as:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2022 Service activity and job growth expands<br>\u2022 More Americans are turning 65 in 2024<br>\u2022 An update on regional banking<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Service Activity and Job Growth Signal More Expansion in Q1<\/strong> \u2013 As of February 7, the Atlanta Fed\u2019s GDPNow forecasting tool shows growth of 3.4% in Q1. It\u2019s early days, but key economic indicators for January support this assessment. The first key indicator is activity in the U.S. services sector, whose importance far outweighs activity in manufacturing. According to the Institute for Supply Management\u2019s (ISM) services-activity index, activity rose from 50.5 in December to 53.4 in January \u2013 a substantial increase into expansionary territory and well above consensus estimates. New orders, business activity, and employment all posted readings in expansion territory, and a majority of respondents in the survey said business is steady or improving. Robust activity in the services sector tracks with gains we saw in the labor markets in January, with the Labor Department reporting jobs growth of 353,000 for the month. December\u2019s payroll gains were also revised higher, from the previously reported 216,000 up to 333,000.<sup>1<\/sup> Technology companies have garnered headlines recently as many job cuts have been announced at high-profile companies, but a closer analysis suggests that companies are recalibrating priorities towards A.I. while also cost-cutting in areas where they over-hired in the months following the pandemic. Overall, the unemployment rate held steady at 3.7% in January, and wages continue to rise faster than inflation. Wage growth notched 4.5% higher in January, while the latest headline CPI reading in December came in at 3.4%.<sup>2<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-tax-planning?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_02_12&amp;content=tax_planning\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-tax-planning?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_02_12&amp;content=tax_planning\">Download Our User-Friendly Guide to Tax Planning in 2024<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While tax planning might not be the most thrilling topic, it&#8217;s a crucial component of your financial strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our free guide, <strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-tax-planning?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_02_12&amp;content=tax_planning\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-tax-planning?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_02_12&amp;content=tax_planning\">Tax Planning in 2024: A User-Friendly Guide<sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/em><\/span><\/strong>, aims to simplify the complexities of tax laws, empowering individuals and business owners to make strategic decisions that minimize tax liability. It also covers a range of key tax issues, such as:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2022 Investments\u2014including tax loss harvesting, loss carryover, investment interest expense deductions, and many more topics.<br>\u2022 Healthcare and Education\u2014from the Child Tax Credit to Health Savings Accounts to 529 plans and more.<br>\u2022 Retirement Planning\u2014Traditional and Roth IRAs, catch-up contributions, Required Minimum Distributions and other essential topics.<br>\u2022 Charitable Giving &amp; Estate Planning\u2014Gifting strategies, Donor-Advised Funds, private foundations and other ways to help yourself as you help others.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have $500,000 or more to invest and want to learn more, click on the link below to get your free copy:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-tax-planning?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_02_12&amp;content=tax_planning\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-tax-planning?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_02_12&amp;content=tax_planning\">Download<em> Tax Planning in 2024: A User-Friendly Guide<sup>3<\/sup><\/em><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>More Americans are Turning 65 in 2024 Than Ever Before<\/strong> \u2013 There\u2019s a reasonably good probability that someone reading this week\u2019s Steady Investor is turning 65 this year. That\u2019s because more Americans than ever before are celebrating their 65th birthday in 2024, a trend that is set to continue through 2027. According to the Bipartisan Policy Center, about 4.1 million Americans will turn 65 this year, which averages to about 11,200 per day. For context, over the previous decade about 10,000 Americans turned 65 each day. One takeaway from this data is that the country should see a surge in new retirements over the next few years, but that may not necessarily be the case. According to a new report from the Pew Research Center, about 20% of Americans 65 and older had a job last year, which is nearly twice as many 65-year-old workers compared to 1990. What\u2019s more, over 60% of 65+ year-old workers are still on the job full-time, compared to about 50% in 1987. There are several reasons for this shift, but chief among them is improved health, longevity, and a renewed sense of purpose.<sup>4<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Is the Regional Banking Crisis Back for Round Two?<\/strong> \u2013 Jitters abounded last week in the regional banking space, with major downgrades issued for New York Community Bancorp (NYCB). Moody\u2019s Investors Service cut NYCB\u2019s credit rating to junk status on Tuesday, citing \u201cfinancial, risk-management and governance challenges,\u201d which followed Fitch Ratings moving the company to the lowest possible investment-grade rating. The credit rating cuts came on the heels of a disappointing Q4 2023 earnings report for the bank, which revealed a surprising loss and dividend cut. A key reason NYCB is receiving so much attention is its connection to last year\u2019s regional banking crisis, given it was the purchaser of failed Signature Bank New York. NYCB has issued statements saying its deposits are stable, but it\u2019s often a crisis of confidence that ultimately determines a bank\u2019s fate. NYCB tried to quell worries by issuing a filing with securities regulators, forecasting net interest income of $2.8 billion in 2024, down from $3.1 billion in 2023. But it\u2019s only February. While we believe the market has already priced in risk to the broader U.S. financial system, regional banks should be a continued focus for investors in 2024\u2014especially given their exposure to commercial real estate loans.<sup>5<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tax Planning in 2024<\/strong> \u2013 Don&#8217;t let tax planning be a headache this year!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our user-friendly guide, <strong><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-tax-planning?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_02_12&amp;content=tax_planning\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-tax-planning?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_02_12&amp;content=tax_planning\">Tax Planning in 2024<sup>6<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/em><\/strong>, provides an overview of the many issues involved in tax planning, including ways you can reduce your tax burden. This guide is by no means exhaustive, but offers a solid resource you can use to have more effective discussions with your family and tax advisors. It covers:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2022 Investments\u2014including tax loss harvesting, loss carryover, investment interest expense deductions, and many more topics.<br>\u2022 Healthcare and Education\u2014from the Child Tax Credit to Health Savings Accounts to 529 plans and more.<br>\u2022 Retirement Planning\u2014Traditional and Roth IRAs, catch-up contributions, Required Minimum Distributions and other essential topics.<br>\u2022 Charitable Giving &amp; Estate Planning\u2014Gifting strategies, Donor-Advised Funds, private foundations and other ways to help yourself as you help others.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have $500,000 or more to invest and want to learn more, click on the link below:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Record number of Americans turning 65 in 2024, services sector activity and job growth signal Q1 expansion, the latest regional bank under duress.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71,73],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12999","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-private-client-group","category-steady-investors-week"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12999","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12999"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12999\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13001,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12999\/revisions\/13001"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12999"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12999"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12999"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}