{"id":13047,"date":"2024-03-11T13:52:08","date_gmt":"2024-03-11T13:52:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/?p=13047"},"modified":"2024-03-11T13:52:08","modified_gmt":"2024-03-11T13:52:08","slug":"fed-rate-cut-update-q4-earnings-wrap-up-government-shutdown-avertedagain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/fed-rate-cut-update-q4-earnings-wrap-up-government-shutdown-avertedagain\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed Rate Cut Update, Q4 Earnings Wrap-up, Government Shutdown Averted\u2026Again"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In this week&#8217;s Steady Investor, we explore current market news that we believe investors should keep on their radar, such as:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2022 Update on the Fed and rate cuts<br>\u2022 Takeaways from the Q4 2023 earnings season<br>\u2022 Congress passes bill to avert government shutdown<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell Testifies on Inflation and Policy<\/strong> \u2013 On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell appeared before the House Financial Services Committee to give testimony on inflation and monetary policy. Powell mostly stuck to the script, highlighting progress made on inflation thus far, but also striking a cautious tone about moving too quickly on rate cuts. In short, no surprises. Market expectations for rate cuts commencing in June did not change, and neither did Fed projections for three rate cuts in 2024. One positive takeaway was a reminder that the Fed is not necessarily waiting for inflation to fall back down to 2% exactly. In Powell\u2019s words: \u201c<em>We\u2019re not looking for better inflation readings than we\u2019ve had. We\u2019re just looking for more of them.<\/em>\u201d Statements like this one make the next few months of inflation data critical, and we will want to see a sustained improvement trend \u2013 even if just slightly. We know that shelter costs are likely to improve as the year goes on, which \u201c<em>bakes in<\/em>\u201d improvement in the data in a meaningful way. The central bank has been taking comfort in the strong economy, which has given them a bit of runway in deciding when to make cuts. But they are also cognizant of the risks, as evidenced by this comment made by Chairman Powell: \u201cReducing policy restraint too late or too little could unduly weaken economic activity and employment.\u201d<sup>1<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-high-net-worth?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_blog_2024_03_11&amp;content=high_net_worth_guide\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-high-net-worth?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_blog_2024_03_11&amp;content=high_net_worth_guide\">Improve Your Long-Term Investment Goals with This Simple Step!<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While it&#8217;s challenging to accurately anticipate market fluctuations, you can strategically position your investments to navigate potential changes ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Knowing your net worth is a great place to start as it is critical to your financial well-being and can help you prepare for what\u2019s ahead. So today, we\u2019re offering our free guide <em><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-high-net-worth?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_blog_2024_03_11&amp;content=high_net_worth_guide\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-high-net-worth?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_blog_2024_03_11&amp;content=high_net_worth_guide\">Measuring Your Net Worth<sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/em>, which helps answer important financial questions like:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2022 How do I correctly calculate my net worth?<br>\u2022 How does my net worth compare to other households?<br>\u2022 What strategies can help me grow my net worth over time?<br>\u2022 What are the risks and factors that can help me grow my net worth?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have $500,000 or more to invest and want to understand how to measure your net worth, click on the link below to get your copy today!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-high-net-worth?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_blog_2024_03_11&amp;content=high_net_worth_guide\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-high-net-worth?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_blog_2024_03_11&amp;content=high_net_worth_guide\">Download Zacks Guide, <em>Measuring Your Net Worth<sup>2<\/sup><\/em><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Q4 2023 Earnings Season is Over. Here Are Some Key Takeaways<\/strong> \u2013 For the second consecutive quarter, S&amp;P 500 earnings were positive. This showing from U.S. corporations aligned with our expectation that the earnings recession would end in Q3 2023, even as Energy and Materials somewhat obfuscated the data by anchoring overall earnings lower. On the flip side, many would argue that technology and internet stocks disproportionately pulled the overall earnings figures higher. In a sense, both arguments are right. On a sector level, Consumer Discretionary (+52% earnings growth) and Communication Services (+43%) pulled the overall earnings numbers higher, and they also happen to be sectors that hold four of the \u201cMagnificent Seven\u201d stocks. On the other hand, Energy (-25%) and Materials (-20%) pulled overall data lower, as commodity prices weakened. In aggregate, Q4 earnings growth came in at 4.4% year-over-year, and moving ahead we expect better performance from the non-tech sectors in the economy while the AI-driven earnings bump likely ease due to higher comps. Anecdotally, Q4 results for hotels, restaurants, and leisure posted 88% year-over-year earnings growth, underscoring the ongoing strength of the consumer and the possibility of more upside surprises in 2024.<sup>3<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Looks Like a U.S. Government Shutdown Will Be Averted, Again<\/strong> \u2013 At this stage, many investors may see budget wrangling and looming government shutdowns as \u2018non-stories,\u2019 and that would be ok. It seems that this story reappears every few months in the form of possible debt defaults or a shutdown, only to have a deal ultimately worked out, and the crisis subsequently fades. That looks to be the outcome this time around, too. The U.S. House of Representatives passed legislation on Wednesday, with a bipartisan vote of 339-85, to fund several key agencies in the government with a few more to go. At this stage, Congress is already more than five months behind in accomplishing the very basic task of funding the government, and there are still more agencies to be funded by the March 22 deadline. Those include the Defense Department, Homeland Security, the State Department, and Health and Human Services. All told, the budget for fiscal year 2024 looks to be about $1.66 trillion, which is lower than the $1.7 trillion spent in 2023.<sup>4<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The market is constantly changing, and becoming more familiar with your net worth can be critical to your financial well-being and help prepare you for what\u2019s ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Calculating your net worth may also give you a better idea of where you stand in terms of your long-term investment goals. If you do not currently know your net worth, we recommend reading our free guide, <strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-high-net-worth?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_blog_2024_03_11&amp;content=high_net_worth_guide\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-high-net-worth?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_blog_2024_03_11&amp;content=high_net_worth_guide\">Measuring Your Net Worth<sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/em><\/span><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You\u2019ll get answers to important financial questions like:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2022 How do I correctly calculate my net worth?<br>\u2022 How does my net worth compare to other households?<br>\u2022 What strategies can help me grow my net worth over time?<br>\u2022 What are the risks and factors that can help me grow my net worth?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have $500,000 or more to invest, simply click on the link below to get your copy today!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Powell strikes cautious tone on rate cuts, the ups and downs of the Q4 2023 earnings season, Congress passes bill to keep government open<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71,73],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13047","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-private-client-group","category-steady-investors-week"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13047","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13047"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13047\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13049,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13047\/revisions\/13049"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13047"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13047"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13047"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}