{"id":13378,"date":"2024-09-09T16:22:02","date_gmt":"2024-09-09T16:22:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/?p=13378"},"modified":"2024-09-17T15:13:33","modified_gmt":"2024-09-17T15:13:33","slug":"2024s-top-sector-is-not-tech-manufacturing-and-services-diverge-chinas-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/2024s-top-sector-is-not-tech-manufacturing-and-services-diverge-chinas-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"2024&#8217;s Top Sector Is Not Tech, Manufacturing And Services Diverge, China&#8217;s Economy"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In today\u2019s Steady Investor, we highlight some key events and market forces that are shaping the financial landscape, including:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The new sector leading the S&amp;P 500<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>An update on China\u2019s economy<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Weak manufacturing signals hint at U.S. economic slowdown<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Best Year-To-Date Performing Sector Isn\u2019t Technology \u2013 <\/strong>For all the press that high-flying mega-cap technology stocks get\u2014particularly in light of the rapid AI buildout\u2014the Technology sector is not even the best-performing sector in the S&amp;P 500 this year. It\u2019s Utilities. As of this writing, Utility stocks are up just over 20% for the year, slightly higher than technology stocks and better than the broad S&amp;P 500 index. Utility companies are generally seen as defensive stocks, given the relatively unexciting, but stable, earnings and dividend payments of gas and electric providers across the U.S. However, Utilities also tend to be adversely impacted by higher interest rates, which helps explain the -10% decline logged in 2023. The outlook for lower rates in the future has helped boost Utility shares in 2024. Still, investors have also been optimistic about another key factor that could help Utility companies: surging demand. Some investors see the artificial intelligence revolution as a major new revenue source for Utility companies, as AI requires enormous amounts of computing power, which involves a lot of electricity. If the proliferation of AI infrastructure, tools, and companies takes hold as many anticipate it will, power demand could grow significantly as well. By some estimates, electricity demand from data centers alone could grow by 15% annually over the next decade. This has been good for Utility powers, but investors should keep in mind that increasing power demand does not necessarily mean increasing earnings. If forecasts for power demand and electricity consumption are all correct, Utilities will likely need to make significant investments in expanding the power grid and developing more energy infrastructure, generation, and transmission. This can get costly fast, and a potentially higher-for-longer interest rate environment could cloud the economics of scaling.<sup>1<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><u><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_09_09&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_09_09&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\">Key Strategies for Thriving in a Volatile Market<\/a><\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Daily market swings can leave investors uneasy, but waiting for stability could mean missing out on valuable opportunities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rather than being caught off guard, it\u2019s essential to understand how volatility can work in your favor. In our guide, \u201c<strong><em><u><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_09_09&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_09_09&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\">Using Market Volatility to Your Advantage<\/a><\/u><\/em><\/strong>\u201d, all readers will have access to our insights, based on decades of experience, on how a volatile market may be able to help investors refine their strategies and potentially generate solid returns over time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have $500,000+ to invest, get our free\u00a0<strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_09_09&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_09_09&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Using Market Volatility to Your Advantage<sup>2<\/sup><\/span><\/a><\/em><\/strong><sup> <\/sup>guide today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Headlines Suggest China\u2019s Economy is Deeply Struggling. Data Says Otherwise \u2013 <\/strong>Make no mistake, China\u2019s economy has downshifted significantly since the pandemic, and growth continues to be anchored lower by a struggling property sector. But an economy in crisis, as many headlines in financial media suggest, is not an accurate description of China\u2019s current state either, in our view. According to the latest print from the Caixin\/S&amp;P Global Services Purchasing Managers\u2019 Index (PMI), most businesses in China\u2019s services sector reported expansion activity. The new business index also remained above 50, which marks the 21<sup>st<\/sup> consecutive month of broad growth. The PMI reports tell us that most businesses are seeing solid activity, but we do not necessarily know <em>by how much<\/em>. This is where the argument that China\u2019s economy remains in a soft patch is a valid one, but we also know that business optimism is the highest it has been since May. The picture painted here is not one of gangbusters expansion necessarily, but it\u2019s also an economy that appears to be on better footing that is widely appreciated.<sup>3<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>U.S. Manufacturing and Services Activity Continue to Diverge \u2013 <\/strong>Selling pressure early in the week was tied by some in the media as related to weak manufacturing data. Indeed, the Institute for Supply Management reported manufacturing PMI at 47.2%, which indicates relatively weak manufacturing activity as more factories reported contractionary activity than not. However, the attribution of weak manufacturing data to a one-day equity market selloff is not really how markets work, and it would not likely be a cause of a selloff on its own.<sup>4<\/sup> That\u2019s because manufacturing output commands a relatively small slice of total U.S. economic output, especially when compared to the services sector \u2013 which remains in expansion mode. According to the August Services PMI, 51.5% of businesses reported expansion activity for the month, which was slightly higher than July\u2019s print. Business activity registered 53.3%, and the New Orders Index expanded to 53%.<sup>5<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Finding Silver Linings in a Turbulent Market \u2013&nbsp;<\/strong>It may be hard to find silver linings in this current market, but that doesn\u2019t mean they aren\u2019t there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To get insight into how a volatile market can help investors refine their strategies and potentially generate solid returns over time, we recommend reading our guide \u201c<strong><em><u><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_09_09&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=steadyinvestor_zim_2024_09_09&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\">Using Market Volatility to Your Advantage<sup>6<\/sup><\/a><\/u><\/em><\/strong>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You\u2019ll get our ideas on how market volatility can \u201cshake up\u201d complacent investors, why volatility may help prevent overheating and market \u201cbubbles,\u201d and more.&nbsp;If you have $500,000 or more to invest, download this free guide today by clicking the link below.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mega-cap tech stock performance beat out by Utilities, China&#8217;s economy is doing better than headlines suggest, U.S. manufacturing weakens while services expand<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":13387,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71,73,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-private-client-group","category-steady-investors-week","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13378","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13378"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13378\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13380,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13378\/revisions\/13380"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13387"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13378"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13378"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13378"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}