{"id":13659,"date":"2025-02-19T19:09:23","date_gmt":"2025-02-19T19:09:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/?p=13659"},"modified":"2025-02-19T19:09:24","modified_gmt":"2025-02-19T19:09:24","slug":"is-inflation-moving-up-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/is-inflation-moving-up-again\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Inflation Moving Up Again?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>John and Judith R. from Lexington, KY ask: <\/em>Hello Mitch, With the latest inflation report, it looks like prices are starting to move in the wrong direction again. Do you foresee this being a problem in 2025 for interest rates and ultimately the stock market? Thank you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mitch\u2019s Response:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thanks for writing, John and Judith. Please allow me to walk readers through the latest consumer price index (CPI) report and then I\u2019ll weigh in on your question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In January, headline CPI rose 3% year-over-year, and core inflation\u2014which excludes volatile food and energy prices\u2014came in at 3.3% for the month. On a monthly basis, CPI climbed 0.5%, which was above consensus estimates for a 0.3% increase. This marked the largest monthly jump since August 2023. Wages also saw a notable increase, and the University of Michigan\u2019s consumer survey reflected growing inflation expectations over the next year. All of these readings were hotter than most were expecting.<sup>1<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest inflation report was especially concerning because it revealed broad-based price pressures rather than being driven by expected categories like housing and rent, which have been gradually cooling. Instead, inflation accelerated across goods and services that had previously shown signs of stabilizing. The market has also been weighing the potential effects of new import tariffs, weighed against supply-side factors such as deregulation and increased energy production that could help counteract price increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><u><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=mitchsmailbox_zim_2025_02_20&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=mitchsmailbox_zim_2025_02_20&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\">Rising Inflation, Market Swings\u2014Here\u2019s How to Stay Ahead<\/a><\/u><\/strong><br>\u00a0<br>The latest inflation report sent shockwaves through the market, reigniting concerns about rising prices and interest rate uncertainty. Volatility is back in focus\u2014but that\u2019s not necessarily a bad thing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Get our free guide, <strong><em><u><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=mitchsmailbox_zim_2025_02_20&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=mitchsmailbox_zim_2025_02_20&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\">Using Market Volatility to Your Advantage<sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/u><\/em><\/strong>, and discover key strategies for navigating market swings, refining your approach, and potentially turning volatility into an opportunity for stronger returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Inside, you\u2019ll find our insights on:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>How market volatility can \u201cshake up\u201d complacent investors<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Potential bargains that may be uncovered through turbulence<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Why volatility may help prevent overheating and market \u201cbubbles\u201d<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>What history shows us about opportunities for steady investors in turbulent markets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Plus, more ways you may be able to benefit from a volatile market<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><u><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=mitchsmailbox_zim_2025_02_20&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=mitchsmailbox_zim_2025_02_20&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\">Download Our Free Guide, \u201cUsing Market Volatility to Your Advantage\u201d<sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are reasons for caution before drawing broad conclusions about the future path of interest rates and the effect on stocks, however. The largest price increases were seen in auto-related expenses and airline fares, which could decline in the coming months. One of the most significant recent price spikes was also in eggs, which surged over 15% from December, marking the sharpest rise since mid-2015. This accounted for nearly two-thirds of the overall increase in grocery prices, largely driven by a bird flu outbreak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, the Federal Reserve tends to focus more on the PCE price index inflation gauge when setting policy, which likely hovered around 2.6% in January. Weather fluctuations may also have skewed the reported wage gains, and another Fed survey suggested inflation expectations were not rising as sharply as the University of Michigan report indicated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I do think that a balanced and clear-eyed analysis indicates waning optimism that inflation is moving in the right direction. The latest CPI report casts doubt on whether current policies are sufficient to bring inflation down to the 2% target, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank\u2019s commitment to maintaining restrictive monetary policy for now. That being said, I think this argues more for a \u201cpause\u201d in lowering rates than reversing course, and markets and the economy have demonstrated for years that they can absorb the impact of rates at these levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite concerns over the latest inflation data, investors still have opportunities to navigate the market effectively. Volatility can be challenging, but it also presents unique advantages for those who know how to navigate it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To help you make the most of these market swings, I\u2019m offering all readers our guide, <strong><em><u><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=mitchsmailbox_zim_2025_02_20&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=mitchsmailbox_zim_2025_02_20&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\">Using Market Volatility to Your Advantage<sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/u><\/em><\/strong><em>. <\/em>You\u2019ll get our ideas on:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>How market volatility can \u201cshake up\u201d complacent investors<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Potential bargains that may be uncovered through turbulence<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Why volatility may help prevent overheating and market \u201cbubbles\u201d<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>What history shows us about opportunities for steady investors in turbulent markets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Plus, more ways you may be able to benefit from a volatile market<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have $500,000 or more to invest, download this free guide today by clicking on the link below.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mitch looks at the latest inflation report and what it suggests for interest rates and the market in the months ahead.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":13575,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13659","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13659"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13659\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13660,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13659\/revisions\/13660"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13575"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13659"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13659"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13659"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}