{"id":8393,"date":"2019-12-23T19:26:29","date_gmt":"2019-12-23T19:26:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zackspcg.com\/blog\/?p=8393"},"modified":"2022-02-26T13:06:51","modified_gmt":"2022-02-26T13:06:51","slug":"negative-news-has-diminishing-power-of-stock-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/negative-news-has-diminishing-power-of-stock-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"Negative News Has Diminishing Power of Stock Prices"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In 2015, weak growth numbers in China were worrying\ninvestors. There was also China\u2019s decision to devalue their currency, which\nsent equity markets into a brief tailspin. China was posting weaker-than-expected\nmanufacturing and export figures, and the currency devaluation felt like a\ndesperation move to revive growth.<sup>1<\/sup> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2016, investor fear shifted to the second coming of a\ncredit crisis, as banks were starting to write-off non-performing energy loans\nthat went bust after the steep drop in crude oil prices in 2014. Germany\u2019s\nbiggest bank, Deutsche Bank, saw the cost to insure its debt soar by over 180% in\njust a three-month period, and Credit Suisse and other major European banks\nwere reporting similar squeezes. Many prognosticators, at the time, were\nwarning of crisis in banking.<sup>2<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Go back to 2011 (which it\u2019s worth reminding was part of the\ncurrent bull market), and all talk was centered around the \u2018European Debt\nCrisis,\u2019 with worries of Europe\u2019s impending collapse. In 2013 and 2014, the\nnews spent months covering the fiscal cliff and the repercussions it could have\non the economy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In all of these cases, the stock market endured volatility\nalong the way, sometimes with sharp, steep, and scary declines. But I believe the\ncrucial understanding investors should draw from this walk down memory lane is,\n<em>did this volatility ever last long enough\nto harm long-term returns?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>___________________________________________________________________________<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-stock-market-outlook?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=motm_blog_2019_12_23&amp;content=stock_market_outlook_report\">Bearish Sentiment Does Not Mean a Bearish Future<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I want to\nemphasize the importance of avoiding the urge to get caught up in negative\nheadlines. As I look to 2020, I see this bull still going strong. My\nrecommendation is to base your investing decisions on hard data (not negative\nheadlines), and stay focused on economic data releases, earnings reports, and\nother economic factors!<br>\n&nbsp;<br>\nTo help you do this, we are offering all readers\na look into our just-released&nbsp;<strong>January 2020 Stock Market Outlook report.<\/strong><br>\n&nbsp;<br>\nThis report will provide you with our forecasts\nalong with additional factors to consider:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><em>Should you stay bullish?<\/em><\/li><li><em>What sectors&nbsp;show the best opportunity?<\/em><\/li><li><em>What industries within those sectors most merit your\n     attention?<\/em><\/li><li><em>What produces U.S. optimism in the coming year?&nbsp;<\/em><\/li><li><em>Year-end forecast for the S&amp;P<\/em><\/li><li><em>Small-cap vs. large-cap returns<\/em><\/li><li><em>And much more.&nbsp;<\/em><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have $500,000 or more to invest and want to learn more about these forecasts, click on the link below to get your free report today!<br> <br><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-stock-market-outlook?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=motm_blog_2019_12_23&amp;content=stock_market_outlook_report\"> <\/a><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-stock-market-outlook?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=motm_blog_2019_12_23&amp;content=stock_market_outlook_report\">IT&#8217;S FREE. Download the Just-Released January 2020 Stock Market Outlook<\/a><sup><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-stock-market-outlook?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=motm_blog_2019_12_23&amp;content=stock_market_outlook_report\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>___________________________________________________________________________<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Throughout these years, I spent quite a bit of time (and several\npages) hashing and re-hashing all of the above-listed fears and all the others\nof the time. China slowing, the energy recession, stock market volatility \u2013\nthese were all stories that were sparking concern that the economic expansion\nwas nearing an end and that the next bear market was upon us. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet, here we are approaching 2020, with the equity bull\nmarket still going strong \u2013 posting what appears to be one of the better performance\nyears on record. <strong><em>The takeaway:<\/em><\/strong>over time, recycled negative stories\ntend to have diminishing pricing power, in my view. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s why heading into 2020, I think this bull market has\nmore room to run. Lately, a majority of economic stories seem to only focus on\na handful of narratives: China (trade), slowing global growth, manufacturing\nrecession, weak earnings, impeachment, and Brexit. In other words, <em>absolutely nothing new<\/em> <em>that we don\u2019t already know.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, around the carousel we go, hashing and rehashing the\nsame stories and worries about the U.S. and global economic future. If, in the\nnew year, you notice that these stories continue to dominate headlines \u2013 which\nI believe they probably will \u2013 then I think it makes sense to use this as a cue\nthat there\u2019s more bull market left to go. If investors and news headlines move\naway from these worrying factors and talk shifts to \u201cgoldilocks\u201d growth and an\nunstoppable stock market, then I\u2019d say it\u2019s time to start worrying. But we\u2019re\nnot there yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bottom Line for\nInvestors<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The more effective you are at drowning out negative,\nrecycled headlines, the more success you will have over time as an equity\ninvestor, in my opinion. Above, I made a case for being bullish heading into\n2020, <em>without even mentioning anything\nabout positive economic fundamentals as drivers of upside! <\/em>These positive\nfundamentals exist, of course. But the point is that you can often parse a\ngreat deal of useful information about the stock market simply by identifying\nthe elements of the \u201cwall of worry\u201d and asking yourself: <em>have I seen this already? <\/em>If you have, the economy and stock market\nare probably in better shape than you think. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you still aren\u2019t convinced you should be bullish in 2020, check out our <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-stock-market-outlook?source=website&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=motm_blog_2019_12_23&amp;content=stock_market_outlook_report\">Just-Released January 2020 Stock Market Outlook Report.<\/a><\/strong><br> \u00a0<br> This Special Report is packed with newly revised predictions to consider for 2020 that can help you base your next investment move on hard data. For example, you&#8217;ll discover Zacks\u2019 view on:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><em>Should you stay bullish?<\/em><\/li><li><em>What sectors&nbsp;show the best opportunity?<\/em><\/li><li><em>What industries within those sectors most merit your\n     attention?<\/em><\/li><li><em>What produces U.S. optimism in the coming year?&nbsp;<\/em><\/li><li><em>Year-end forecast for the S&amp;P<\/em><\/li><li><em>Small-cap vs. large-cap returns<\/em><\/li><li><em>And much more.&nbsp;<\/em><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have $500,000 or more to invest and want to learn more about these forecasts, click on the link below to get your free report today!<sup>4<\/sup><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Some investors climb the \u201cwall of worry\u201d, but negative stories aren\u2019t usually reliable predictors<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":7430,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[63,71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8393","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mitch-on-the-markets","category-private-client-group"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8393","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8393"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8393\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10665,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8393\/revisions\/10665"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8393"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8393"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8393"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}