{"id":9333,"date":"2021-02-18T15:30:10","date_gmt":"2021-02-18T15:30:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zackspcg.com\/blog\/?p=9333"},"modified":"2022-02-26T13:05:54","modified_gmt":"2022-02-26T13:05:54","slug":"3-reasons-to-be-bullish-on-oil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/3-reasons-to-be-bullish-on-oil\/","title":{"rendered":"3 Reasons To Be Bullish On Oil"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>Diana T. from El Paso,\nTX asks: <\/em>Hello Mitch, I wondered if you had any thoughts about a big\nrebound in energy this year. My husband and I work in the oil and gas industry\nand feel like it could be a good year. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mitch\u2019s Response:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thanks for writing, Diana. Generally speaking, I share your\noutlook about the energy sector, and in particular oil and gas. Three factors\ndrive my views: supply, demand, and mean reversion. I\u2019ll explain each one\nbelow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s start with supply. In the years leading up to the\npandemic, there was a notable supply glut in crude oil. The shale boom drove\nstockpiles higher, and when the pandemic hit, inventories ballooned \u2013 putting\nintense downward pressure on prices. Since you work in the oil and gas\nindustry, you probably remember the moment when oil futures turned negative, on\nthe heels of extreme uncertainty. You can see the plunge in the chart below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/10_pic1-1-1024x395.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-9334\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis<sup>1<\/sup><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>_________________________________________________________________________<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=mitchsmailbox_zim_2021_02_18&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\">Use Market Volatility to Your Advantage in Times of Uncertainty<\/a><\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=mitchsmailbox_zim_2021_02_18&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\"><br><\/a><br>As you experience the ups and downs in the market, remember not to panic! Being a successful investor means dealing with the turbulence of the market, especially at a time like this when uncertainty levels are high. Feeling worried is completely normal right now, but did you also know there are several positive aspects of volatility? <br> &nbsp;<br>If you have $500,000 or more to invest, get our free guide, <em>\u201cUsing Market Volatility to Your Advantage,\u201d<\/em> and learn our insights, based on decades of experience, about how a volatile market may be able to actually help investors refine their strategies and potentially generate solid returns over time.<br> &nbsp;<br> You\u2019ll get our ideas on:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>How market volatility can \u201cshake up\u201d complacent investors<\/li><li>Potential bargains that may be uncovered through turbulence<\/li><li>Why volatility may help prevent overheating and market \u201cbubbles\u201d<\/li><li>What history shows us about opportunities for steady investors in turbulent markets<\/li><li>Plus, more ways you may be able to benefit from a volatile market<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=mitchsmailbox_zim_2021_02_18&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\">Download Our Guide, \u201cUsing Market Volatility to Your Advantage\u201d<\/a><sup><a href=\"https:\/\/go.steadyinvestor.com\/arrow-use-volatility-to-your-advantage?source=zim&amp;medium=blog&amp;term=mitchsmailbox_zim_2021_02_18&amp;content=volatility_can_be_good_guide\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>_________________________________________________________________________<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The supply situation looks better today. Stockpiles are\nshrinking, and the Organization for Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) continues\nholding back millions of barrels a day from the market. These dynamics support\nupward pressure on crude oil prices. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Next is demand, which was obviously sapped during the global\neconomic lockdown and all the restrictions that followed (and continue today).\nAn economic recovery bodes well for the energy markets, and there\u2019s a good\nargument we\u2019re still in the early phases of said recovery. As vaccine uptake\nimproves and the world moves past the pandemic, I expect demand to firm up even\nmore. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the current environment, the winter storms engulfing much\nof the United States also raises demand for oil and gas. According to the\nNational Weather Service, over 150 million Americans are under a winter\nadvisory of some type. Natural gas prices are very sensitive to extreme weather\nevents, and we\u2019ve seen prices move higher as a result.<sup>3<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The final factor driving my positive outlook for energy is mean\nreversion. Energy has been battered down in recent years as other areas of the\nmarket have rallied, and I think high valuations in many parts of the market\nwill nudge investors to rotate from high valuation to low valuation. Energy is the\nmost obvious sector for some of this capital to rotate. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Volatility\nin the market will always occur, but also understand that there are also positive aspects about it that you\ndon\u2019t want to overlook. You have the opportunity to make the most out of these\nchallenging times! <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To give you insight into some of these positives, I am offering all readers our guide \u201cUsing Market Volatility to Your Advantage\u201d<sup>4<\/sup>. This guide&nbsp;can help you learn about our insights, based on decades of experience, about how a volatile market may be able to actually help investors refine their strategies and potentially generate solid returns over time.<br> &nbsp;<br>You\u2019ll get our ideas on:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>How market volatility can \u201cshake up\u201d complacent investors<\/li><li>Potential bargains that may be uncovered through turbulence<\/li><li>Why volatility may help prevent overheating and market \u201cbubbles\u201d<\/li><li>What history shows us about opportunities for steady investors in turbulent markets<\/li><li>Plus, more ways you may be able to benefit from a volatile market<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have $500,000 or more to invest, download this free guide today by clicking on the link below.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mitch looks at some factors that could drive a rebound in the energy sector this year<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":7436,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[66,71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9333","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mitchs-mailbox","category-private-client-group"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9333","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9333"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9333\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10453,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9333\/revisions\/10453"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9333"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9333"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zacksim.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9333"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}