Private Client Group

October 26th, 2020

How Will the Third Wave of COVID Impact the Economy?

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In today’s Steady Investor, we look at key factors that we believe are currently impacting the market, such as:

Should You Be Worried About Economic Repercussions of a Third COVID Wave?

Covid-19 cases are rising across the country, with case counts approaching levels not seen since the peak of the outbreak. With winter coming and many activities moving indoors, many worry this outbreak wave could reach dire levels in Q4. Should investors be worried about the potential for economic fallout? Answering this question means venturing into the unknown, but there are a few factors to consider that may indicate if the economy can hold up. For one, the U.S. health system and the scientific understanding of the disease are reducing hospitalizations and deaths, which remain under control (relatively speaking). Second, there does not seem to be any remaining political will to lockdown the economy fully, on the state or national level. While a full reopening remains elusive with case counts rising, a full lockdown may be too unpopular to pursue.1 Finally, as we have written before, we do believe that Congress and the White House will eventually arrive at a deal for another round of stimulus, perhaps sooner than many expect.

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Download Our Dean’s List of Investment Strategies!
 
You can’t predict how COVID-19 will impact Q4 or the economy. But the right investment strategy can make a huge difference in preparing your long-term investments for success and helping you navigate these challenging and unprecedented times.
 
To help you learn more about strategies that cater to different investment objectives, we have created our Dean’s List of Investment Strategies. Our Dean’s List describes five of our investment strategies that are ranked in the top of their respective classes by Morningstar (as of 9/30/20).2
 
If you have $500,000 or more to invest and want to learn about five of our top strategies, click on the link below.
 
Learn More About Our Top-Ranked Strategies!3

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U.S. Justice Department Brings Antitrust Lawsuit Against Google – The Justice Department’s investigation into Google’s anticompetitive practices has long been known, though it’s been less clear when the government would actually file a lawsuit. The time has arrived. On Tuesday, the Justice Department filed a lawsuit accusing Google of monopolizing search and thwarting competition, while also engaging in lucrative contracts meant to secure their position as the dominant platform for search. The Justice Department alleges that Google’s practices leave no opening for competition, which therefore results in less choice and innovation that would otherwise benefit consumers. Advertisers also suffer, the Justice Department says, because they are forced to pay Google’s prices (nearly all of Google’s 2019 profits came from online advertising). Interestingly, at the center of the Justice Department’s lawsuit is another behemoth in the Technology sector – Apple, Inc. Allegedly, Google pays Apple upwards of $10 billion a year in order for Google’s search feature to be the default option for search on iPhones, via the Safari browser. This payment is a major benefit to both companies: a 10% to 15% of revenues for Apple, and up to 50% of all search volume for Google. Google also has contracts with non-Apple smartphone makers that use Google’s Android operating system, requiring them to use Google as the default search engine. In all, Google owns or controls about 80% of search queries in the U.S., with the balance of market share spread across Yahoo, Bing, and others. If Google and the Justice Department do not come to a settlement in the coming months, and the case proceeds to the courts, expect it to drag on for years.4-

Still No Momentum on Digital Currency Moving into the Mainstream –The digital currency craze swept through the investment world rapidly in over the past couple of years, though it has largely been forgotten in 2020. Digital currency may not receive the global financial welcome it has been hoping for anytime soon. In comments this week by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, he said the U.S. is in no hurry to issue a digital currency. The Fed has too many concerns currently about cyberattacks, counterfeiting, and fraud, as well as the impact on monetary policy. Because the U.S. dollar is the ‘world’s currency,’ it is imperative that any shift to digital currency be airtight. For its part, China is stepping up research on how digital currencies can better facilitate transactions, from a cost and speed standpoint. It plans to roll out a pilot program in April testing digital currency across four cities.5

There is no way to know exactly how this pandemic will continue to impact the market and economy, but finding the right investment strategy can make a huge difference when managing the highs and lows of the market. To help you learn more about strategies that cater to different investment objectives, we have created our Dean’s List of Investment Strategies.6
 
Our Dean’s List describes five of our investment strategies that are ranked in the top of their respective classes, according to Morningstar (as of 9/30/20).7 If you have $500,000 or more to invest and want to learn more about these strategies, click on the link below to see how they could potentially benefit you.

Disclosure

1 The Wall Street Journal, October 21, 2020. https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-economy-seesslight-to-modest-growth-this-fall-feds-beige-book-says-11603306189

2 ZIM may amend or rescind the “Dean’s List of Investment Strategies” guide for any reason and at ZIM’s discretion.

3 These rankings may not be representative of any one client’s experience. In addition, they are not indicative of future performance

4 The Wall Street Journal, October 21, 2020. https://www.wsj.com/articles/google-u-s-government-each-face-challenges-in-court-fight-11603324647?mod=hp_lead_pos1

5 The Wall Street Journal, October 19, 2020. https://www.wsj.com/articles/fedtakes-cautious-approach-to-possibly-issuing-digital-currency-11603132490

6 ZIM may amend or rescind the “Dean’s List of Investment Strategies” guide for any reason and at ZIM’s discretion.

7These rankings may not be representative of any one client’s experience. In addition, they are not indicative of future performance

DISCLOSURE

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss.

Zacks Investment Management, Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zacks Investment Research. Zacks Investment Management is an independent Registered Investment Advisory firm and acts as an investment manager for individuals and institutions. Zacks Investment Research is a provider of earnings data and other financial data to institutions and to individuals.

This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Do not act or rely upon the information and advice given in this publication without seeking the services of competent and professional legal, tax, or accounting counsel. Publication and distribution of this article is not intended to create, and the information contained herein does not constitute, an attorney-client relationship. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment or strategy is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole.

Any projections, targets, or estimates in this report are forward looking statements and are based on the firm’s research, analysis, and assumptions. Due to rapidly changing market conditions and the complexity of investment decisions, supplemental information and other sources may be required to make informed investment decisions based on your individual investment objectives and suitability specifications. All expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice. Clients should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed in this presentation.

Certain economic and market information contained herein has been obtained from published sources prepared by other parties. Zacks Investment Management does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information. Further, no third party has assumed responsibility for independently verifying the information contained herein and accordingly no such persons make any representations with respect to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of the information provided herein. Unless otherwise indicated, market analysis and conclusions are based upon opinions or assumptions that Zacks Investment Management considers to be reasonable. Any investment inherently involves a high degree of risk, beyond any specific risks discussed herein.

The S&P 500 Index is a well-known, unmanaged index of the prices of 500 large-company common stocks, mainly blue-chip stocks, selected by Standard & Poor’s. The S&P 500 Index assumes reinvestment of dividends but does not reflect advisory fees. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor. An investor cannot invest directly in an index.

Returns for each strategy and the corresponding Morningstar Universe reflect the annualized returns for the periods indicated. The Morningstar Universes used for comparative analysis are constructed by Morningstar (median performance) and data is provided to Zacks by Zephyr Style Advisor. The percentile ranking for each Zacks Strategy is based on the gross comparison for Zacks Strategies vs. the indicated universe rounded up to the nearest whole percentile. Other managers included in universe by Morningstar may exhibit style drift when compared to Zacks Investment Management portfolio. Neither Zacks Investment Management nor Zacks Investment Research has any affiliation with Morningstar. Neither Zacks Investment Management nor Zacks Investment Research had any influence of the process Morningstar used to determine this ranking.


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