Mitch's Mailbox

October 27th, 2022

Lower-Risk Investment Options for a Volatile Market

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Brynne N. from Rockford, IL asks: Hi Mitch, I am writing to ask you for ideas for relatively safe investments in highly volatile markets. I just do not have the stomach for all the ups and downs, but I still would like to see some growth over the next couple of years. Thank you.

Mitch’s Response:

Thanks for writing, Brynne. I can empathize with the challenges of navigating elevated market volatility – it is certainly not easy. Since you explicitly mention you do not have the stomach for the ups and downs, I am going to make my response solely about investing in fixed income in the current environment. The good news for you is that your options are better today than they have been in years.

Let’s start with the “risk-free” category, which includes Treasury bonds issued by the U.S. Treasury and backed by the government. Interest rates have been climbing quickly in 2022, which has resulted in rising yields on short-duration Treasuries – meaning you do not have to hold them for a long period of time to earn a modest but nicely positive return. Here is a simple table showing you where those yields stood as of the end of September:

Duration1-Month2-Month3-Month6-Month1-Year2-Year3-Year
Yield2.79%3.20%3.33%3.92%4.05%4.22%4.25%

Source: U.S. Treasury1

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What To Do When the Market Experiences Downside Volatility

It is easy to fall in to emotional decision-making when the market fluctuates. You may be asking yourself questions like: What should you do when market corrections occur? Could volatility be an opportunity?

Instead of giving into emotional decision-making, I recommend finding a strategy that could help you steer through any financial change Our guide, “Helping You Manage Market Volatility,” will provide you with insights and tips to do just that. Get answers to questions like:

If you have $500,000 or more to invest and want to get answers to the questions above, click on the link below to download this guide today!
 
Download Zacks Volatility Guide, “Helping You Manage Market Volatility.”2

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These are certainly not gangbusters-type returns, but they are also not anchored to near-zero as they have been for the better part of the last decade. The 6-month U.S. Treasury bond, for instance, pays close to a 4% yield today whereas a year ago that yield was a meager .06%. Treasuries may satisfy your desire to see some growth over the next couple of years without enduring stock market volatility in the process.

If you wanted to move a little further out on the risk curve, you can likely earn a higher yield in investment grade corporate bonds and municipal bonds. Higher credit spreads are also allowing investors to properly get compensated for the risks being taken in the credit markets, and we have also recently seen a meaningful increase in municipal bond yields in the short and intermediate portion of the curve. Maintaining a focus on high quality and investment grade bonds would be the optimal approach, in my view.

One key thing to remember is that bond prices will fluctuate as interest rates change, so bear in mind that locking in a current interest rate may mean the value of your bond will fall if interest rates rise. Having a plan to hold on to your bond to maturity so you can earn the full interest and have your principal returned make these fluctuations matter less.

In addition, there are other steps you can take to help navigate market volatility. To help give insight into some ways you can do this, check out our guide, “Helping You Manage Market Volatility.”2 It will provide you with insights and tips to do just that. Get answers to questions like:

If you have $500,000 or more to invest and want to get answers to the questions above, click on the link below to download this guide today!

Disclosure

1 U.S. Department of the Treasury, https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView

2 ZIM may amend or rescind the guide “Helping You Manage Market Volatility” for any reason and at ZIM’s discretion.

3 ZIM may amend or rescind the guide “Helping You Manage Market Volatility” for any reason and at ZIM’s discretion.

DISCLOSURE

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss.

Zacks Investment Management, Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zacks Investment Research. Zacks Investment Management is an independent Registered Investment Advisory firm and acts as an investment manager for individuals and institutions. Zacks Investment Research is a provider of earnings data and other financial data to institutions and to individuals.

This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Do not act or rely upon the information and advice given in this publication without seeking the services of competent and professional legal, tax, or accounting counsel. Publication and distribution of this article is not intended to create, and the information contained herein does not constitute, an attorney-client relationship. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment or strategy is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole.

Any projections, targets, or estimates in this report are forward looking statements and are based on the firm’s research, analysis, and assumptions. Due to rapidly changing market conditions and the complexity of investment decisions, supplemental information and other sources may be required to make informed investment decisions based on your individual investment objectives and suitability specifications. All expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice. Clients should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed in this presentation.

Certain economic and market information contained herein has been obtained from published sources prepared by other parties. Zacks Investment Management does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information. Further, no third party has assumed responsibility for independently verifying the information contained herein and accordingly no such persons make any representations with respect to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of the information provided herein. Unless otherwise indicated, market analysis and conclusions are based upon opinions or assumptions that Zacks Investment Management considers to be reasonable. Any investment inherently involves a high degree of risk, beyond any specific risks discussed herein.

The S&P 500 Index is a well-known, unmanaged index of the prices of 500 large-company common stocks, mainly blue-chip stocks, selected by Standard & Poor’s. The S&P 500 Index assumes reinvestment of dividends but does not reflect advisory fees. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor. An investor cannot invest directly in an index.
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