Private Client Group

September 30th, 2017

Could Signs of Growth Yield New Opportunities for Your Portfolio?

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What could the proposed tax reform mean for you? And what does the Bureau of Economic Analysis estimate for U.S. GDP growth? Get the answers to these questions and much more in this week’s edition of the Steady Investor’s Week.

What Do Tax Reform Proposals Mean for You? – the Senate could not muster the votes needed to take any action on healthcare, so they’re moving onto tax reform. Republicans are historically more united on issues related to tax reform, so on paper the road ahead should be smoother than it was for healthcare. The divisive issue when it comes to tax reform, however, is how to pay for it. The proposed tax cuts could add trillions of dollars to the national deficit over the next decade and many of the most conservative Republicans will not go for that. Expect a contentious debate in the coming months with that issue front-and-center. Below, we take a look at some of the proposals from the White House’s outline.

On Individual tax reform:

Corporate tax reform:

A Shifting Stance on Brexit – Prime Minister Theresa May gave a speech last week in Florence, Italy regarding Britain’s future relationship with the European Union. In it, she shifted from an earlier stance that Britain would leave the EU without meeting its financial obligations and would restrict movement of labor completely. Now, Prime Minister, May, appears to be supporting a “softer” Brexit in which she proposed a two-year transitional period and said Britain would honor its financial obligations. The last set of talks between the Britain and the EU ended in deadlock and time is starting to run out.

Meanwhile, Europe Continues to Show Signs of Strength – economically speaking, that is. Businesses and households across the European Union are more upbeat about their prospects than any time in the past decade, an indication that the political fatigue and concerns over faltering economies is starting to fade. They also seemed unfazed by the potential for the European Central Bank to start eventually pulling back stimulus measures. The European Commission’s Economic Sentiment Indicator, which looks at business and consumer confidence, rose to 113.0 in September from 111.9 in August – that marks its highest reading since June 2007. In terms of business activity in manufacturing and services, the European PMI readings are well above the expansionary 50 mark – manufacturing soared to 58.2, new business rose to 55.6, with the aggregate composite PMI hitting 56.7 to rise to its highest level since May.

The U.S. is Growing Nicely, Too – The Bureau of Economic Analysis released their third and final estimate for GDP in the second quarter, saying that real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.1%, up from 1.2% in the second quarter. Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment and capital consumption adjustment) increased $14.4 billion in the second quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $46.2 billion in the first quarter. In our view, investors should stay the course.

Still, staying the course for many investors can be easier said than done, especially when they start worrying about potential market volatility. With that, many investors have been asking us how they can prepare for a potential market downturn. While volatility is a normal, natural feature of equity investing, the key to preparing for it is realizing there is no way to eliminate it, but many approaches for dealing with it. To help investors prepare for a potential downturn, we have created a guide that will provide investors with tips and tricks for dealing with volatility. To download your exclusive copy, click on the link below:

Disclosure

DISCLOSURE

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss.

Zacks Investment Management, Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zacks Investment Research. Zacks Investment Management is an independent Registered Investment Advisory firm and acts as an investment manager for individuals and institutions. Zacks Investment Research is a provider of earnings data and other financial data to institutions and to individuals.

This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Do not act or rely upon the information and advice given in this publication without seeking the services of competent and professional legal, tax, or accounting counsel. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but we do not guarantee accuracy or completeness. Publication and distribution of this article is not intended to create, and the information contained herein does not constitute, an attorney-client relationship. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment or strategy is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole.

Returns for each strategy and the corresponding Morningstar Universe reflect the annualized returns for the periods indicated. The Morningstar Universes used for comparative analysis are constructed by Morningstar (median performance) and data is provided to Zacks by Zephyr Style Advisor. The percentile ranking for each Zacks Strategy is based on the gross comparison for Zacks Strategies vs. the indicated universe rounded up to the nearest whole percentile. Other managers included in universe by Morningstar may exhibit style drift when compared to Zacks Investment Management portfolio. Neither Zacks Investment Management nor Zacks Investment Research has any affiliation with Morningstar. Neither Zacks Investment Management nor Zacks Investment Research had any influence of the process Morningstar used to determine this ranking.
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