Private Client Group

August 5th, 2020

U.S. Recovery Lags Behind Europe, Dollar Down, Gold Up

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In today’s Steady Investor, we look at key questions investors are asking, and factors that we believe are currently impacting the market such as:

The United States Lags Europe in Economic Recovery, For Now – Economic data from June suggests that Europe’s economic recovery is outpacing that of the United States, at least for now. Purchasing Managers Indices (PMIs) are a good indicator of activity across services and manufacturing, and June readings show Europe accelerating as U.S. activity levels off. The composite PMI, which combines data from services and manufacturing, returned to growth (a reading above 50) in the U.K. and across the eurozone, with output advancing at its quickest pace in years. Meanwhile, in the U.S., the composite PMI for June ticked only slightly higher to 50, indicating that activity had flat-lined after five months of contraction. While services and manufacturing expanded in Europe, only manufacturing returned to growth in the U.S., with services logging a sixth consecutive month of contraction. Covid-19 cases could be the driving factor behind the diverging growth paths of the U.S. and Europe. While most European countries are seeing a few or several hundred new cases a day, the United States now accounts for more than 25% of worldwide cases, and continues to see over 50,000 new cases daily.1    

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How to Use Market Volatility to Your Advantage
 
As we wait for a vaccine and for the market to fully recover, many investors will have to brace themselves for continued volatility. Market volatility is challenging for just about every investor, especially with all the unknowns that come with the current pandemic. But for all the worry and discomfort volatility often causes, did you know there are also several positive aspects of volatility?
 
If you have $500,000 or more to invest, get our free guide, “Using Market Volatility to Your Advantage” and learn our insights, based on decades of experience, about how a volatile market may be able to actually help investors refine their strategies and potentially generate solid returns over time.
 
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Gold is Surging as the Dollar Weakens – Many headlines this week focused on the surging price of gold and the concurrent weakening of the dollar. Indeed, gold prices rose to a new closing record for the first time in almost ten years, extending a summer rally arguably fueled by nervous investors building portfolio hedges in light of a gloomy global economic growth outlook, depressed interest rates, and rising tensions between the U.S. and China. The ‘gold rush’ has actually been underway since early 2019, and physical traders in London and New York have been trying to acquire more metal as individual investors order bars and coins. Gold prices have also been on the rise as the U.S. dollar weakens. As we write this, the U.S. dollar is on track for its worst month since April 2011, as a challenging battle against the Covid-19 outbreak has weakened the recovery and arguably prolonged the amount of time needed to return to pre-pandemic growth levels. Traders have been selling the dollar and buying currencies of developed countries where the pandemic is largely under control, such as the euro, the Australian dollar, and Japanese yen.3

Did Google Just Set the “Work-From-Home” Standard for U.S. Corporations? Google made headlines this week, in becoming the first corporation to formalize policy allowing its employees to work from home until at least July 2021. The decision will affect nearly all of Google’s approximately 200,000 employees, and was a decision made by CEO Sundar Pichai. Mr. Pichai ultimately chose this course of action in an effort to help families plan for the full school year, and even to allow employees to sign full-year leases if they decide to move. Judging from the migration patterns of many American workers away from cities and to the suburbs, these types of ‘work-from-home’ policies may accelerate the trend of people trickling away from urban centers. Google has so far been the only major U.S. corporation to take such bold action, but stay tuned for others who may follow their lead shortly.4

From slowed economic recovery to the weakened dollar, it may be hard to find the silver linings in the current crisis, but that doesn’t mean they aren’t there. To help give you additional insight into how you can make the most of turbulent times, I recommend reading our guide “Using Market Volatility to Your Advantage.”5 This guide can help you learn about our insights, based on decades of experience, about how a volatile market may be able to actually help investors refine their strategies and potentially generate solid returns over time.
 
You’ll get our ideas on:

If you have $500,000 or more to invest, download this free guide today by clicking on the link below.

Disclosure

1 The Wall Street Journal, July 24, 2020. https://www.wsj.com/articles/europes-post-lockdown-rebound-bodes-well-for-global-economy-11595587952

2 ZIM may amend or rescind the free guide offer, Using Market Volatility to Your Advantage, for any reason and at ZIM’s discretion

3 The Wall Street Journal, July 23, 2020. https://www.wsj.com/articles/gold-eclipses-2011-closing-record-heads-for-new-all-time-high-11595518282

4 The Wall Street Journal, July 27, 2020. https://www.wsj.com/articles/google-to-keep-employees-home-until-summer-2021-amid-coronavirus-pandemic-11595854201

5 ZIM may amend or rescind the free guide offer, Using Market Volatility to Your Advantage, for any reason and at ZIM’s discretion

DISCLOSURE

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss.

Zacks Investment Management, Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zacks Investment Research. Zacks Investment Management is an independent Registered Investment Advisory firm and acts as an investment manager for individuals and institutions. Zacks Investment Research is a provider of earnings data and other financial data to institutions and to individuals.

This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Do not act or rely upon the information and advice given in this publication without seeking the services of competent and professional legal, tax, or accounting counsel. Publication and distribution of this article is not intended to create, and the information contained herein does not constitute, an attorney-client relationship. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment or strategy is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole.

Any projections, targets, or estimates in this report are forward looking statements and are based on the firm’s research, analysis, and assumptions. Due to rapidly changing market conditions and the complexity of investment decisions, supplemental information and other sources may be required to make informed investment decisions based on your individual investment objectives and suitability specifications. All expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice. Clients should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed in this presentation.

Certain economic and market information contained herein has been obtained from published sources prepared by other parties. Zacks Investment Management does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information. Further, no third party has assumed responsibility for independently verifying the information contained herein and accordingly no such persons make any representations with respect to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of the information provided herein. Unless otherwise indicated, market analysis and conclusions are based upon opinions or assumptions that Zacks Investment Management considers to be reasonable. Any investment inherently involves a high degree of risk, beyond any specific risks discussed herein.

The S&P 500 Index is a well-known, unmanaged index of the prices of 500 large-company common stocks, mainly blue-chip stocks, selected by Standard & Poor’s. The S&P 500 Index assumes reinvestment of dividends but does not reflect advisory fees. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor. An investor cannot invest directly in an index.
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