Private Client Group

October 20th, 2016

Why Money Managers are Holding More Cash

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Netflix’s profit continues to climb and money managers increase cash levels in portfolios to levels not seen since 9/11. Read more in this edition of Steady Investor’s Week.

Netflix Earnings Soar – the Netflix model appears to be working very well. It’s earnings season, and Netflix captured the spotlight this week after its Q3 report exceeded expectations by a healthy clip. Netflix’s profit climbed from $29.4 million to $51.5 million quarter over quarter, with revenue jumping a blistering 32% to $2.3 billion. Earnings per share came in at $0.12, better than the street’s expectations. Netflix’s subscriber base grew nicely as well, as the company added over 3 million new users in the quarter, giving it over 85 million subscribers worldwide. Netflix continues to excel in original programming, and it is arguable that the global attention captured by its show “Stranger Things” led to such strong numbers on the quarter. If you’re considering an investment in Netflix stock, you may want to weigh the cost – NFLX trades at over 330x current earnings.

China GDP Growth at 6.7% – China continues to avert the largely feared “hard landing,” delivering growth in-line with expectations. As it continues to transition its economy from an infrastructure and investment economy to a services and consumption-based one, it was expected – and even considered healthy – to see a drop-off in growth rates. But the slowdown has been mild, perhaps because China continues to spend more at the government level and bank lending remains at record highs. Debt is rising and the property market is arguably overheating, but a property bubble bursting in China would not be like one bursting in the U.S. The government would absorb or write-off most of those losses as opposed to it becoming a systemic crisis in the private sector.

Snoopy, You’re Fired. – The cartoon icon of the insurance world has been given his walking papers, after 30 years of service. Just about everyone recognizes Snoopy as the long-time spokesman and blimpy pilot for MetLife, but as the company transitions from its focus on retail customers to group business, it felt it was time for a change. The company also unveiled a new tagline for its new image: “MetLife. Navigating Life Together.” Snoopy is said to be taking up golf and world travel as his next phase in life.

Money Managers are Holding More Cash – according to a recent study, money managers have increased cash levels in portfolios to levels not seen since 9/11 and the aftermath of the Brexit vote. They pushed cash balances up from 5.5% last month to 5.8% in October, citing fears of a bond crisis and uncertainty over the election. Some may read this as a sign to be cautious in response to following the herd. But in our view the opposite is true! If you take a look at what the market does as managers increase their cash balances, it tends to go up – in the three months following 9/11 and the Brexit referendum, the S&P 500 rose by 4.1 and 2.4 percent, respectively. Pessimism born out of false fears is bullish, in our view. Take this as a good sign.

Fueled by negative headlines, many investors make the common error of buying into false fears about the state of the market. How can one avoid this mistake? At Zacks Investment Management, we stick to the facts and always look to hard data to provide context for investing decisions instead of getting caught up in the headlines. To help guide your investment decisions, download our newly released Stock Market Outlook report. Click on the link below to download your free copy today:

Disclosure

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss.

Zacks Investment Management, Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zacks Investment Research. Zacks Investment Management is an independent Registered Investment Advisory firm and acts an investment manager for individuals and institutions. Zacks Investment Research is a provider of earnings data and other financial data to institutions and to individuals.

This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Do not act or rely upon the information and advice given in this publication without seeking the services of competent and professional legal, tax, or accounting counsel. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but we do not guarantee accuracy or completeness. Publication and distribution of this article is not intended to create, and the information contained herein does not constitute, an attorney-client relationship. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment or strategy is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole.
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