Private Client Group

November 23rd, 2020

Pandemic Changes Thanksgiving, a New Asian Trade Group, Stimulus Clock Ticking

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In today’s Steady Investor, we look at key factors that we believe are currently impacting the economic recovery and what could be next for the markets such as:

Shopping for Thanksgiving Dinner May Look Different This Year – Thanksgiving in general may look different this year, with limitations on gatherings and with some families unable to travel for the holiday. The menu may also look different, as grocery stores grapple with supply chain issues and as consumers shift preferences. Grocers this year are reportedly stocking smaller turkeys – 12 to 14 pounds versus 16 to 20 pounds – in anticipation of smaller gatherings, and many grocers are worried about low supplies of canned vegetables, baking ingredients, and other necessities like pie trays and paper towels. Tight supplies and firm demand may mean higher prices at the register, particularly if consumers are forced into making similar choices based on availability. Prices may also feel a bump as many grocers and suppliers take on the additional costs of supplying protective equipment for workers and following stricter sanitation protocols. Indeed, the research firm Nielson reports that the cost of a typical Thanksgiving meal is expected to rise 3.7% from a year ago, to about $55.27. Normally, the cost of Thanksgiving dinner rises about 1% to 2% per year.1

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How to Protect Your Retirement as The Market Fluctuates
 
Investors may not know where to invest during this unpredictable time. One potential solution is a portfolio invested in stocks with a strong track record of dividends and dividend growth. This may give investors the potential for a stable and predictable source of income in retirement.
 
To learn more about how to use dividend-paying stocks in your strategy to potentially generate cash flow for retirement, check out our guide “Retirement’s Uphill Battle: Generating Income in a Low Interest Rate Environment.”
 
If you have $500,000 or more to invest, click on the link below to get our free guide today!
 
Retirement’s Uphill Battle: Generating Income in a Low Interest Rate Environment.2

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15 Asian Countries Strike a New Trade Deal – In a deal that took years to complete, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, or RCEP, includes some of Asia’s most stable and growing economies – from Australia and New Zealand to Japan, Singapore, and South Korea. But the deal also includes China, which in a sense only adds to its influence in the region. The United States had a similar opportunity to exert trade and commerce influence in the region, with the Transpacific Partnership or TPP, but pulled out of the deal. The RCEP’s terms are less comprehensive than the TPP’s, but it should make it easier for countries in the deal to import raw materials from each other and export finished products without high tariffs. According to Japan’s government, the RCEP will eliminate tariffs on 91% of goods traded within the bloc, and dramatically increase the level of non-tariffed goods and services. Freer trade often leads to dislocations within member economies, but over time has proven to lower the costs of goods and services globally.3

For Many Americans, the Clock is Ticking on Fiscal Stimulus – Earlier in the year, Congress passed legislation expanding unemployment insurance and increasing the weekly benefit for a period of time. In most states, unemployed workers get 26 weeks of benefits, with Congress providing an additional 13 weeks with the stimulus. Congress also extended the benefits to other types of workers, like freelancers, contract workers, and the growing number of Americans operating in the “gig economy.”4 The expansion of unemployment insurance expires on January 1, which could leave millions of Americans without benefits in the new year. If the pandemic were in a better place – and the economy was able to operate free from restrictions – an extension to the fiscal benefit may have been debatable. But failing to deliver another round of fiscal stimulus could raise the risk of millions of American families entering a very challenging period financially in the coming months.

Bad Timing for Boeing – After nearly two years of being grounded after two crashes and a myriad of quality control issues, the Boeing 737 MAX jets are being cleared to fly. The problem: global demand for air travel and new jets has been pummeled due to the pandemic. Airlines and aircraft-leasing companies have canceled approximately 10% of Boeing’s outstanding MAX orders in 2020, which for Boeing marks a sharp reversal of fortunes in the past year. In 2018, the aviation company was struggling to meet demand for its aircraft. Now, the problem is too much supply.5

Investing During a Pandemic – You may be wondering where to invest during this unprecedented time, as cash won’t do. I would suggest considering stocks that are growing earnings and dividends and have a track record of doing so.

To learn more about how to use dividend-paying stocks in your strategy to potentially generate cash flow for retirement, check out our guide “Retirement’s Uphill Battle: Generating Income in a Low Interest Rate Environment.6

If you have $500,000 or more to invest, click on the link below to get our free guide today!

Disclosure

1 Wall Street Journal. November 14, 2020. https://www.wsj.com/articles/thanksgiving-in-a-pandemic-means-smaller-birds-fewer-leftovers-11605349801

2 Zacks Investment Management reserves the right to amend the terms or rescind the free Retirement’s Uphill Battle: Generating Income in a Low Interest Rate Environment offer at any time and for any reason at its discretion.

3 Wall Street Journal. November 15, 2020. https://www.wsj.com/articles/asia-pacific-nations-sign-major-china-backed-trade-deal-11605434779

4 New York Times. November 18, 2020. https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/11/18/business/us-economy-coronavirus?type=styln-live-updates&label=economy&index=2&action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage#us-report-warns-of-damage-to-financial-system-without-more-fiscal-support

5 Wall Street Journal. November 18, 2020. https://www.wsj.com/articles/boeing-must-emerge-smarter-from-737-max-grounding-11605723715?mod=searchresults_pos2&page=1

6 Zacks Investment Management reserves the right to amend the terms or rescind the free Retirement’s Uphill Battle: Generating Income in a Low Interest Rate Environment offer at any time and for any reason at its discretion.

DISCLOSURE

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss.

Zacks Investment Management, Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zacks Investment Research. Zacks Investment Management is an independent Registered Investment Advisory firm and acts as an investment manager for individuals and institutions. Zacks Investment Research is a provider of earnings data and other financial data to institutions and to individuals.

This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Do not act or rely upon the information and advice given in this publication without seeking the services of competent and professional legal, tax, or accounting counsel. Publication and distribution of this article is not intended to create, and the information contained herein does not constitute, an attorney-client relationship. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment or strategy is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole.

Any projections, targets, or estimates in this report are forward looking statements and are based on the firm’s research, analysis, and assumptions. Due to rapidly changing market conditions and the complexity of investment decisions, supplemental information and other sources may be required to make informed investment decisions based on your individual investment objectives and suitability specifications. All expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice. Clients should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed in this presentation.

Certain economic and market information contained herein has been obtained from published sources prepared by other parties. Zacks Investment Management does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information. Further, no third party has assumed responsibility for independently verifying the information contained herein and accordingly no such persons make any representations with respect to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of the information provided herein. Unless otherwise indicated, market analysis and conclusions are based upon opinions or assumptions that Zacks Investment Management considers to be reasonable. Any investment inherently involves a high degree of risk, beyond any specific risks discussed herein.

The S&P 500 Index is a well-known, unmanaged index of the prices of 500 large-company common stocks, mainly blue-chip stocks, selected by Standard & Poor’s. The S&P 500 Index assumes reinvestment of dividends but does not reflect advisory fees. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor. An investor cannot invest directly in an index.
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